Side Effect of Aluminum UBC WARS In 2013 Is Aluminum Can Recycle Rate Decline

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image1UBC Plateau Market Condition
@Aluminum UBC in 2013 has an abnormal market condition, as well as the abnormal weather of this summer. The successful bid prices in the local government exceeded all the maker furnace and profit level, and the result from Kashiwa, Chiba in the end of August is 146 yen/kg. This is considered to be the one that reached high price on the peak this summer.
จ(Related Article) Aluminum UBC Recent Market Condition is New High Record for Kashiwa

–Aluminum UBC Market Price Transition Graph

@But, aluminum can bidding that was held in Saitama on September 9th hit the high price since beginning of the year with 148.80 yen!
@Azuma Metal who won the tender wasnft that of major electric mass merchandiser group, but a copper-based raw materials wholesale dealer of Saitama. Trader that has a lot of things to put in speculation (or so itfs heard). Aoki Store of Itabashi, Tokyo, is also like that, but all of them took advantage of rising UBC market and used speculative buying, and according to bidding analysis sources, gItfs not connected to either the domestic maker or the exporth, so speculative tender winning is often occurred in UBC bidding.
จ(Related Article) Trend of Used Aluminum Can and Iron Can Tender Winning in Saitama, Tokyo

UBC@Practically, even the world-famous NOVELIS (KOREA) probably canft buy with this much of high price.
@Even the domestic aluminum alloy makers with factory carry-on basic, have only 143 yen + @ for the high price limit (for example, Daiki Aluminium Industry), and therefs no place to buy the out-of-common-sense and crazy price, 148 yen in Omiya (it should be). If NOVELIS Company bought this, then Korea UBC Recycle Factory will absolutely go bankrupt.
@Shinryo Aluminum Techno Corporation that is said to be first-rate of the high price purchasing increases new lump combination by can materials slab production glike it was naturalh from the end of August, and as the result, scrap purchase is dropping. There seemed to be various circumstances.
@If UBC rose up to here, itfs a necessity for a normal aluminum materials company that pursues profit to increase new lump combination. Showa Aluminum Can Corp. that is a pioneer of aluminum can recycle has already laid a severe purchase limit on UBC. It doesnft buy the expensive RSI, and also increases the new lump investment amount solemnly.
@When the aluminum UBC entered the so-called market price with complete lack of filial piety, if therefs no merit compared to new lump cost, then can materials maker uses new lump. This is the present aluminum can in addition to the increase of products with expensive new lump combination. If can materials maker doesnft use it, aluminum alloy maker will build in die-casting including ADC12, or with deoxidation materials, so there is many usage of UBC without omission, but if itfs too expensive, as the result, aluminum can recycle rate will probably decrease intensely.
จ(Related Article) August 8th, Aluminum UBC Obvious High Price And Complete Unfilial Market Price

@In other words, now, CAN TO CAN that was the largest recycle route of aluminum UBC, in other words, for the can materials, including light pressure makers are increasing new lump in relief, in disfavor with UBC (and RSI). Itfs just like therefs no RSI export anymore, and the cost competitiveness has already been lost. The deoxidation materials have a small profit because of the prices beat down by the blast furnace maker (e.g. : the overwhelming power-related differences between automobile maker and aluminum alloy maker), and the original demand scope is small with 140 thousand tonne a year (in deoxidation materials). And about for aluminum alloy, itfs also in specification of the original ADC12, that UBC injection is limited to other than Daiki Aluminium Industry, which has De-Mg facilities. Because this Mg component is high, UBC is limited to the UBC input in alloy maker.

image@What this article wants to say is, an objective fact, that CAN TO CAN is the aluminum UBCfs largest market, and if it canft be bought or used here, then absolutely the domestic aluminum can recycle rate will decrease. In deoxidation materials, alloy maker, therefs no demand that can fill up as much as the CAN TO CAN hole. By thinking like that, the high purchase by Shinryo Aluminum Techno Corporation (until the H1 of August), probably is a strong spirit like a young patriot burning in a noble ideal to defend our domestic aluminum can recycle rate, and if that spirit existed in the bottom of their hearts, it should be continued. However, by looking down at the present situation, itfs considered that such noble ideals donft exist 100%.

@Because there are many import materials for die-casting alloy these days as to be acknowledged, the procurement-style (import 80%) like the major automobile maker, IS Seiki Company, to not to be particular about domestic products D12 is increasing. Domestic alloy production canft avoid further reduction in the future.

@Then, UBC will enter on the usual development in domestic scrap market, which is when the demand opportunity of domestic aluminum can recycle will decrease, and only the export increases. Monthly 3000`4000 tonne of UBC has already been flowed out into Korea, and that groundwork has already been made. Although Korea has made silly talks and orders in various ways to Japan, Korea is buying various raw materials from Japan other than UBC. According to the comment of aluminum-involved unpleasant Korea source, gIs it alright to carry an aluminum can after it was drunk by a Japanese, even the Korean is appealing to dislike Japan like that? Does anti-Japan demonstration not happen in front of Novelis factory?h

@The domestic used aluminum can outbreak quantity is about 300 thousand tonne, and among of them, the recycling use inside the country is 285 thousand tonne, and furthermore, among of that recycling use, CAN TO CAN is 190 thousand tonne (data of aluminum can recycling association).
จAluminum can recycling flow

@If it canft be supported by CAN TO CAN, then UBC export as quotient materials will automatically increase suddenly, and the present approximately 30 thousand and 5 hundred tonne a year has a possibility to inflate to 40 thousand tonne, 50 thousand tonne, and 100 thousand tonne. By using the scrap flow to Korea until now as references, a routine route, which means it will increase suddenly at one time and not decreasing from there, will be made.
@If export spreads, then the Japan aluminum can recycling rate will decrease. To keep the high rate 90%, after all, CAN TO CAN must be the basic recycling, and for that, it needs aluminum UBC appropriate price formation, and the faith to accompany certain kind of ideal on the using side of maker.
(IRuniverse Susan)

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